If you lived anywhere in or around Pennsylvania in the past several years, itâs impossible not to have noticed the Marcellus Shale phenomenon.
The shale formation, which sits below northern Pennsylvania and stretches to West Virginia and parts of Ohio, is rich in natural gas, one of only seven major shale plays across the nation. And as more energy companies flock to tap the resource with gusto, these regions are undergoing a profound change.
Employment numbers have been driven up so high in some shale-rich areas that itâs regarded as a modern-day gold rush, pushing apartment demand to new heights in the process.
âIf youâre a Pennsylvanian, youâve heard, in some form or fashion, about âshallionaires,â?â says Steve ÂBehrle, senior vice president of acquisitions with Newtown Square, Pa.âbased GMH Capital Partners. âGiven [that] weâre in the multifamily business, we assumed thereâd be an opportunity to build in these communities that were experiencing rapid growth of employment.â
As the natural gas industry transforms regions across the shale formation, small towns are rapidly bulking up with related infrastructure, service, and retail industries, a multiplier effect of demand.
âWeâre not just developing because of the drilling, or shale, but because of the business being created,â says Gary Holloway Jr., GMHâs president.
The birth of boomtowns also offers developers like GMH a chance to expand their geographic footprint. But the phenomenon isnât confined to Pennsylvania: The energy gold rush under way along the Bakken Shale in North Dakota and the Eagle Ford Formation in Texas also provides tantalizing opportunities for apartment developers. But succeeding in these markets isnât a one-size-fits-all proposition.
Prospecting and Exploration
GMH Capital Partners is no stranger to niche plays. The firm was once the nationâs largest owner of student housing, with more than 60,000 beds across 29 states. In early 2008, it sold the portfolio for $1.4 billion to Austin, Texasâbased American Campus Communities. The company also built a sizable military housing portfolio, which it also sold in 2008, for $350.5 million to U.K.-based Balfour Beatty.
The second coming of GMH features an expansion into the energy sector. The company is back in student housing and is also pursuing high-end substance-abuse rehabilitation centers. And the Marcellus Shale line presented another opportunity right in the companyâs backyard. But GMH wasnât looking to stake its claim in rural communities that lacked infrastructure and a clear exit strategy.
âWe decided itâs not going to be in one of these remote [drilling] locations,â Holloway says. âWe were looking for different towns that will benefit from energy-related companies coming to the area. It had to be tied to a market that already exists.â
After an extensive search, GMH found its entrance into the shale game in Southpointe, a 589-acre business park in Cecil Township, Pa. The master planner was looking for a multifamily developer and, after a request-for-proposal (RFP) process, chose GMH to build the residential portion of its mixed-use development.
GMHâs luxury, 376-unit residential community at Southpointe Town Center is currently under construction. The apartments cater to those working at Southpointeâs employment center, a sprawling commercial platform leased by dozens of corporate energy and medical entities. GMH projects rents to be in the $1,300 to $1,700 range.
The benefits of choosing Southpointe were apparent as soon as the company drew up plans for the community. The energy play led GMH into a market with strong demand from a white-collar demographic, helping the developer command higher rents and maintain a sound exit strategy.
It also served as a gateway into Pittsburgh, just a 20-minute drive away. The companyâs presence in the nearby area helped bolster its expansion plans into the metro, as it is now working on acquiring communities in a city with higher market demand.
A Localized deep Dive
The boom in Western Pennsylvania, dubbed the energy capital of the East, resembles whatâs going on in Williston, N.D. While GMH shied away from drilling sites, smaller developers in North Dakota are tied to the nuts and bolts of the operations, and reaping the rewards.
Williston is the nationâs fastest-growing âmicropolitan.â Before the energy rush, the area had only modest infrastructure, but now, a record amount of housing is going up with thousands of units in the pipeline.
âWilliston right now is like remodeling your kitchen: Itâs pretty stressful,â says Shawn Wenko, assistant director for the Williston Economic Development Department. âYouâre doing your dishes in the bathtub, and youâre cooking on a hot plate. Itâs not the most ideal situation. But with the development happening, weâre going to have a pretty nice kitchen when itâs all said and done.â
And yet, this is nothing new to the denizens of Williston. The small town has had an oil industry presence since the 1950s and has lived through several boom-and-bust cycles. This latest boom, though, is bigger and seems like it has longer-term implications.
âWhatâs different this time around is this play is really technology driven,â Wenko says. âOil and gas grew in 2013, but 10 other industries grew as well, even more than this industry. It shows that weâre starting to build sustainability here and some diversification.â
Energy companies have made large investments in long-term shale production in Williston, showing Wenko and local multifamily firms that the industry has staying power there. âOne thing thatâs been determined is that the shale play, itâs going to be a 20-year process to take the resource out of the ground,â says Gary Bethel, principal with San Antonioâbased Beach Project Management. âThey have to establish locations in a lot of these areas from scratch.â
Last year was Willistonâs year of restaurantsâabout 13 new eateries came on line in the small town within the past 18 months. The town also expects several big-name retailers to open stores this year. Another indication the region is settling in for the long haul is a shift to single-family home production as more families settle into the area.
But back in 2010, Clint Wilson, president of locally based Tribeca Properties Development, wasnât sure single-family housing would stick in the region, at least not right away.
âWe intended to do single-family homes. That was part of our pro forma,â Wilson says. âBut finding people that are qualified to purchase a home was difficult. So it [left] more demand for multifamily.â
Wilson was approached by an oil company to build apartments in North Dakota three years ago, and he jumped at the opportunity. The oil company eventually pulled out of the deal, but Wilson decided to stay in North Dakota and become an owner as well as a developer, which gave birth to Tribeca Properties. Now, the company is slated to unveil an 81-unit property this year and begin a second phase with 340 units. His group also opened a hotel in the area last year.
Still, Wilson has no designs on geographic expansion: The company will remain small, solely focused on the local market.
âWeâre going to stick to the strategy,â Wilson says.
Tapping The Source
Ever since oil was discovered near Houston in 1901, the city has been the poster child for the boom-and-bust energy sector. And now, it also has the Eagle Ford Shale line to help fuel growth.
The Eagle Ford Shale, located about halfway between San Antonio and Brownsville, Texas, is more than 400 miles long. Three years ago, energy companies were shuttling drillers about two hours each way to small-town sites along the line. Thatâs when San Diegoâbased DWOLV started seeking opportunities outside of its hometown and zeroed in on the area, buying Class C, value-add properties to rehab.
âAround that time, the first of the shale plays in Texas really began to blossom,â Bethel says. âNow, youâve got drilling, youâve got pipelines, youâve got big tanks that are showing up all over the place. Youâve got people doing all manner of things to establish an infrastructure and a network permanently for this 425-mile stretch of oil field.â
Most energy companies were renting out entire hotels for their staff. So DWOLV teamed up with Logistics International, a remote locations hospitality company, to match workers with apartments leased by their employers, the energy companies. This was a huge step up from the âman camps,â where workers were housed in makeshift tents.
DWOLV was able to increase rents for their units and lease beds out individually to residents. A two-bedroom apartment, which normally went for $700, quickly increased to at least $2,100 monthly, as the furnished bedrooms were leased on a weekly basis.
The best part, Bethel adds, is that, in many cases, the leases are purchased by the energy company itself. That means you donât have to collect checks from each tenant or pull extensive background and credit Âreports. Instead, the lessee is considered a corporate entity, liable for the lease even after the employee changes, providing one check for multiple beds.
âItâs an entirely different dynamic, not only on your revenue stream, but how we go about prepping and maintaining property and doing property management,â Bethel says.
The model of employer-leased apartments is especially effective in these boomtowns, he adds, where youâre catering to a demographic that doesnât need all of the bells and whistles of a full apartment. But thatâs also where the risk in following the energy pipeline lies.
Perhaps thatâs why it hasnât been Houston-based Wolff Cos.â strategy to focus on where energy is being capitally expandedâthe master developer is, like GMH, focusing on the greater metropolitan market.
âI think [energy] has an obvious big impact, just as technology has on the San Francisco Bay area,â says David Hightower, Wolffâs chief development officer and executive vice president.
Over in the western part of Texas, the oil-rich MidlandâOdessa region is also attracting a lot of attention from multifamily players. Kirkland, Wash.âbased Weidner Apartment Homes long ago staked its claim there, paying just $10,000 to $15,000 per unit in the mid-1990s. The company also owns property in energy hotbeds such as Alaska (44 properties, with 4,758 units) and Canada (44 properties, with 6,472 units).
Weidner now has 26 properties in its Texas portfolio, 20 of which are in MidlandâOdessa. Itâs moving to develop new product with higher quality to answer the booming demand, with three new communities built there in the past five years, and one more under way.
And a well-heeled competitor moved into the market not long ago. New Yorkâbased Related Cos. recently purchased a 3,000-unit portfolio in the MidlandâOdessa region, worth about $300 million, according to New Yorkâbased research firm Real Capital Analytics. The firm is reportedly in talks to develop in the Bakken Shale region, too.
Sustainability
It remains to be seen whether areas like Williston are long-term opportunities or classic boomtowns, featuring an overwhelming buildup of demand that ends just as suddenly as it began, leaving a ghost town in its wake.
âEveryone here drinks the Kool-Aid,â Wilson says. âEveryone thinks even if itâs not a boom, it will be a growing, stable environment.
As long as the price of crude oil stays at more than $55 a barrel in the Williston area, the market will still be stable, even without fracking, he adds. But with few barriers to entry, communities along the shale line can be predisposed to overbuilding if developers arenât cautious.
In the past two years, land prices have doubled, or even more, in some areas of North Dakota. Parcels are going for $8 a square foot now, up from only $3 to $3.50 two years ago.
âRents are still in the $2,200-a-month range, which is high, but as we continue to bring supply into the market, those are going to come down,â Wenko adds. âWe have the highest rents in the nation right now, and it really boils down to supply and demand.â
The need for more housing is acute, and the lack of it is inhibiting Willistonâs growth. Large firms, like Related, may soon establish a presence.
âWhen these large companies come in, if theyâre going to do a project, theyâre going to do 500 homes, or theyâre going to do 1,000 apartment units,â Wenko says. âAnd thatâs good for us, because that helps bring some large capacity on line fairly quickly. And that will help us get caught up with the demand weâre seeing here for housing.â